Local lockdowns the new Normal

Young people in Preston are being urged “Don’t kill Granny” as new lockdown measures come into force. Extra restrictions were imposed after Covid-19 infections rose in the city. There were 61 new cases in Preston in the seven days to 4 August. This is the equivalent of 42.6 cases per 100,000 people – up from 21.7 per 100,000 in the previous seven days.

People in Oldham have been told they face a Leicester-style lockdown within days unless they adhere to additional lockdown rules after the number of coronavirus cases nearly doubled in a week. The Greater Manchester town now has the highest infection rate in England, according to NHS Digital data for the week to 8 August.

Oldham council said on Thursday it had seen 255 new cases in that week – almost double the 137 cases in the previous week – despite additional lockdown measures being introduced on 28 July. The jump in cases means Oldham’s infection rate is now at 107.5 cases per 100,000 people – almost at Leicester’s rate of 135 cases per 100,000 when it became the first UK city to enter a full local lockdown.

Unable to cut and paste this data from the BBC “Coronavirus in the UK: How many confirmed cases are there in your area?”, so had to take screenshots of Oldham and Leicester and Oldham which I reproduce below – unable to get data from Preston.

Latest Oldham data

Most recent data for Oldham

Latest Leicester data (6 weeks after lockdown)

Most recent data for Leicester

So what are we to make of this data and information ? The Preston slogan of “Dont kill Granny” confirms the fact that the vast majority of new cases are young people who are testing positive, and who will only experience mild illness.

In Oldham, the death rate is well below the five year average for the last fortnight in July, returning to normal on early August. Surging rates are also mainly young people.

The data for Leicester is interesting in that rates of non-covid deaths is higher than the five year average at the end of July, including collateral deaths, with a continuing low rate of covid-19 deaths.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out /  Change )

Google photo

You are commenting using your Google account. Log Out /  Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out /  Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out /  Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: