Today, 25th April saw the UK pass the 20.000 death toll from Covid-19, with 813 deaths reported in Hospital. According to the Financial Times, the true figure is well over 40,000 taking into account deaths in Care homes and in the community. The graph below shows the position 4 days ago, so it is safe to assume the true death toll is about 45,000 and rising.
The “good outcome” that never was
Last month, the government’s chief scientific adviser, Sir Patrick Vallance, said keeping deaths below 20,000 would be a “good outcome”. There are strong signs – at least in hospitals – that we have passed the peak of deaths.
The fact that may have happened without the health service being overwhelmed in the way Italy’s was is at least some good news. However, the deaths in care homes, which the daily figures from government do not include, are rising rapidly and could prove very difficult to get under control.